Thursday, April 23, 2020

NFL mock draft: 4.0 (final predictions)

Bengals:
Joe Burrow, QB LSU

The most obvious pick in this draft. Bengals have spent so much time talking to him, talks that go deep enough to assume the pick is already decided. 

Redskins:
Chase Young, DE OSU

Redskins are interesting here. They could trade down with a team in need of a QB or even take a QB themselves. I don’t think either happens. Chase Young is too tantalizing to pass up. No surprises in the first 2 picks. That won’t last. 

Dolphins (trade with Lions):
Jedrick Wills, OT Alabama 

Dolphins trade up to select......... a tackle. As hard as it is to believe, this is a real possibility now. Actually, it’s not what you think. They traded their other two 1sts at 18 and 26 plus some other picks to get this pick. They still pick at 5 too. They get Jedrick Wills before the Giants can. He has experience protecting Tua’s blindside. You can guess who they’ll pick at 5. 

Giants:
Tristan Wirfs, OT Iowa 

Simmons is hard to pass up, but protection is very important for the QB they just drafted top 10 last year. Also important for the RB they drafted at the top of the draft too the year before. Another building block for that offense. 

Dolphins:
Tua Tagovailoa, QB Alabama 

This was quite the strategy by the Dolphins. Landing the QB and the lineman who protected him in college. Great 1st round by Miami. 

Chargers:
Justin Herbert, QB Oregon 

No trade ups for QBs in this top part of the draft. Still think all go in short order though. Herbert is a guy that really fits what the Chargers are looking for. He doesn’t go top 5, but he still hears his name called early. 

Raiders (trade with Panthers):
CeeDee Lamb, WR Oklahoma 

The Raiders make the move up to get ahead of anyone else to select the best WR in the class in CeeDee Lamb. I think Mayock and Gruden will love this guy. I debated Ruggs here as I think it’s between those two, but I think they elect to go with Lamb. He’s the best option and remains so. Raiders get a true WR1. 

Buccaneers (trade with Cardinals): 
Andrew Thomas, OT Georgia 

Buccaneers move up to get their new QB much-needed protection. Important for a soon-to-be 43-year old QB. 

Jaguars:
Derrick Brown, DT Auburn  

Very talented player. Just fell due to circumstances of a top 10 full of QBs, OTs and Young. Plus the surprise WR move I guess. Jags don’t hesitate on this one. Their defensive line needs a major rebuild. 

Browns:
Isaiah Simmons, LB Clemson  

Browns can’t believe he fell to them. But that’s how the board went. Great pick by the Browns. That defense looks so good. 

Jets:
Mekhi Becton, OT Louisville 

4 tackles in 11 picks. The Jets get protection for Darnold. Becton has so much upside but some wonder if he’ll bust. That’s why he falls (more than the drug test thing). 

Panthers (trade with Raiders):
Jeff Okudah, CB OSU

How Okudah fell this far is due to circumstance alone (a trend I’m sensing). A run on tackles, QBs, a WR and being the 4th best defensive player in the class will do that. A longer than expected wait for Okudah, who sees his name plastered in top 10s, even 5s, most mocks. But he still hears his name called pretty early. 

49ers:
Henry Ruggs, WR Alabama 

This is a scary thought for most involved. That speed in Shanahan’s offense is unreal. He’s not just speed though. He is a football player, not just a track guy playing football. Freakish athlete with 4.2 speed......... in Shanahan’s offense. Oh 

Cardinals (trade with Buccaneers):
Javon Kinlaw, DT South Carolina 

The Cardinals take best player available here. Kinlaw will be great on that defensive line, a unit that needs to be better. 

Broncos:
Jerry Jeudy, WR Alabama  

Broncos get their guy in Jeudy who is surprisingly the third receiver taken. He fits what the Broncos need to compliment Sutton. 

Falcons:
CJ Henderson, CB Florida 

CBs fall a bit here and the Falcons are a beneficiary. Henderson is a great add to this team. Great replacement for Trufant. 

Cowboys:
Kristian Fulton, CB LSU

Cowboys desperately needed defensive back help before Byron Jones left in FA. They definitely need it now. Fulton is a great start. 

Lions (trade with Dolphins):
Kenneth Murray, LB Oklahoma 

Nobody has anything bad to say about Murray on or off the field. He’s well-liked. The kind of character the Lions franchise needs. An organization that has lacked a franchise LB for awhile finally gets one. 

Raiders:
Joshua Jones, OT Houston  

Yeah, the Raiders added their big playmaker. Won’t matter if Derek Carr can’t get the ball to him because his face in the dirt. Kolton Miller, who they drafted first round in 2018, has not been great. They get another chance here with Joshua Jones, a sturdy piece for that line. 

Jaguars:
Austin Jackson, OT USC

QB protection in round 1 this year is a good strategy. Especially for a team that might be ushering in a new QB this time next year. Gotta prepare. 

Eagles:
Justin Jefferson, WR LSU

Remarkably, Jefferson makes it here after all. All the months of speculating this fit comes to fruition. Jefferson fits very nicely for a team in need of top-end WR help. 

Vikings:
Jalen Reagor, WR TCU

I love this fit for the Vikings. Shorter, quicker receiver who makes plays. Remind you of someone the Vikings did have? It should. 

Patriots:
Ezra Cleveland, OT Boise State 

Patriots typically invest heavily in that offensive line. I expect nothing will change just because Brady isn’t there. Cleveland could be their new Solder. 

Saints:
K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE LSU

Local guy who played in LSU goes to the Saints to beef up that defense. Strong move. 

Vikings:
Jaylon Johnson, CB Utah 

Jalen and now Jaylon to the Vikings. The Vikings fulfill addressing two major needs in this round. Two great fits too. 

Lions (trade with Dolphins):
D’Andre Swift, RB Georgia 

Lions could do a number of things here, but they look at the board and see a playmaker like Swift right there. It’s hard to pass up. That offense lacks playmakers besides Goladay really. Kerryon Johnson is a fine but not great RB. Swift could help revolutionize that offense. He’s so good and dynamic. 

Seahawks:
Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE PSU

The Seahawks are built on defense and continue to fill in on it. 

Ravens:
Jordyn Brooks, LB Texas Tech 

A late 1st round surprise perhaps? Brooks is getting a ton of love late in this process. He could sneak into round 1. The Ravens are a fit. 

Titans:
AJ Terrell, CB Clemson 

Titans get some secondary help. Terrell will work. 

Packers:
Cole Kmet, TE Notre Dame 

Don’t be too shocked to hear Kmet come up in round 1. I think the Packers are a good fit. They lost Jimmy Graham and need a replacement. Another target for Rodgers too. 

Colts (trade with 49ers):
Jordan Love, QB Utah State 

49ers really need day 2 picks. They will get a couple here by being the beneficiary of Jordan Love falling. It’s not a total surprise he fell though given the real lack of need at QB outside the top 10 besides the Patriots who I don’t think would want a guy like Love who needs to develop under some core veteran QBs. Would have been perfect if Brady were still there. So the Colts are the fit. He can develop under Rivers and Brissett, which is a good group to develop under. 

Chiefs:
Michael Pittman, WR USC

What do you do when you have an unstoppable offense? Add to it. Their receiving core could use help outside of Hill. Watkins was hit or miss and Hardman and Robinson are iffy. Kelce is their best pass-catcher at TE. Pittman would compliment the speed of the outside receivers they have with some much-needed size that Andy Reid can play with from that spot. 50 points a game? 60? 70? More? The sky is the limit. 

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