Bengals:
Joe Burrow, QB LSU
The most obvious pick in this draft. Bengals have spent so much time talking to him, talks that go deep enough to assume the pick is already decided.
Redskins:
Chase Young, DE OSU
Redskins are interesting here. They could trade down with a team in need of a QB or even take a QB themselves. I don’t think either happens. Chase Young is too tantalizing to pass up. No surprises in the first 2 picks. That won’t last.
Patriots (trade with Lions):
Tua Tagovailoa, QB Alabama
There are so many connections here. Patriots and Alabama coaching staffs are close due to the Belichick-Saban relationship. Matt Patricia and Bob Quinn worked with Belichick too. This makes so much sense. Patriots want a QB, the Lions want to move down. Maybe not 20 spots down, but New England has so many picks to offer. 12 this year and probably a similar amount next year. And this would be the kind of draft pick haul we haven’t seen in a long time. Lions can build a real core with the haul more than they can by picking a player here or trading down just a couple spots for an additional pick or two. The Patriots pull this off in a crazy move to set the tone for a crazy night.
Giants:
Jedrick Wills, OT Alabama
Simmons is hard to pass up, but protection is very important for the QB they just drafted top 10 last year. Also important for the RB they drafted at the top of the draft too the year before. Another building block for that offense.
Dolphins:
Justin Herbert, QB Oregon
Dolphins counter the Patriots bold move for a QB by getting their own. Herbert has been their guy for awhile, quietly.
Chargers:
Derrick Brown, DT Auburn
Offensive lines don’t want to imagine a world where Derrick Brown, Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa are coming after them. But reality hits after this pick.
Panthers:
Isaiah Simmons, LB Clemson
Best player available for the Panthers here. It happens to fill a need though. LB help for Panthers.
Broncos (trade with Cardinals):
Jerry Jeudy, WR Alabama
Broncos seem to really want Jeudy. He compliments what Sutton does so well. He’s polished and talented. I think he’ll be the first receiver taken. Broncos move up to snag him.
Jaguars:
Jeff Okudah, CB OSU
Okudah falling this far is surprising, but also not when you see how the board fell in front of him. Jaguars don’t hesitate on this one. They need their Ramsey replacement. Okudah fits.
Eagles (trade with Browns):
CeeDee Lamb, WR Oklahoma
Eagles seem to love Lamb, and who could blame them. They haven’t had a true number 1 WR in awhile. This is their opportunity to have one, and they make the bold move up to make sure they get him.
Jets:
Mekhi Becton, OT Louisville
Jets get their protection for Darnold they wanted. They are leaning o-line here despite WR also being a need.
Raiders:
Henry Ruggs, WR Alabama
Raiders go WR as well as the top 3 receivers are off the board quickly, within the first 12 picks. Crazy.
49ers:
CJ Henderson, CB Florida
The 49ers need at CB isn’t noted enough. Sherman in a contract year. None of their top 4 CBs are under contract for 2021. They need help at that position. Henderson is a good fit. He reminds me a bit of Sherman. He’d fit super well with his size and the defensive style he plays. With the top WRs off the board, this pick is easy.
Buccaneers:
Andrew Thomas, OT Georgia
They make a pick to protect Brady. Smart move. Brady will be thankful.
Cardinals (trade with Broncos):
Tristan Wirfs, OT Iowa
Cardinals move down and still get a tackle. Protection for Murray is super important.
Falcons:
Javon Kinlaw, DT South Carolina
The Falcons would move up for Kinlaw, but they don’t have to here. They get him anyways at their pick just based on how the board fell.
Vikings (trade with Cowboys):
Justin Jefferson, WR LSU
Vikings don’t wait around to take a WR to replace Diggs. Jefferson is different than Diggs, but his steadiness and consistency meshes well with Kirk Cousins.
Dolphins:
Ezra Cleveland, OT Boise State
Dolphins get protection for their new QB. That’s smart.
Raiders:
AJ Terrell, CB Clemson
Get a top WR and a top CB in this class? Raiders make out like bandits in this round.
Jaguars:
K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE LSU
The Jaguars continue to rebuild Sacksonville. Think they got two amazing players to do just that.
Browns (trade with Eagles):
Austin Jackson, OT USC
The Browns trade all the way down from 10 to 21 but still get an OT, the need they are most going after.
Vikings:
Kristian Fulton, CB LSU
Another huge need filled for the Vikings. They lost three players at that position this offseason. They recoup a bit.
Lions (trade with Patriots):
Kenneth Murray, LB Oklahoma
The Lions need LB help and have for a long time. They get it here after their massive trade down that changed the whole complexion of this whole thing.
Saints:
Denzel Mims, WR Baylor
Saints don’t have many needs. They added this offseason to their biggest need in WR. But they want to build a super receiving core to the likes Brees has never had. Mims is the third piece. Thomas, Sanders and Mims with Kamara at RB for the final few years of Drew Brees’ career is just what they need to reach another Super Bowl.
Cowboys (trade with Vikings):
Xavier McKinney, S Alabama
Cowboys have needed a safety for awhile. They were interested for years in Earl Thomas and they like Jamal Adams as well. They finally find a great one in McKinney that they can develop themselves.
Dolphins:
D’Andre Swift, RB Georgia
Dolphins got a QB and an OT. RB is the next thing on the list. Swift has become the top one on the board. Dolphins scoop him up as their franchise-altering night continues.
Seahawks:
AJ Epenesa, EDGE Iowa
The Seahawks need offensive line help and they get it with a good one in Jones. More protection for Wilson who usually survives by running around and making things happen, not because he’s wanted to but because he’s had to. This should help.
Ravens:
Patrick Queen, LB LSU
The Ravens have always had really good linebackers. Why not just keep that tradition alive with another one. Queen just feels like a Raven to me. I can already picture it. Match made in heaven.
Titans:
Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE PSU
Best player available and nothing more here for the Titans. Good pick.
Packers:
Brandon Aiyuk, WR Arizona State
Packers don’t usually spend high picks like this on WR, but they need help there as that group fell off a cliff when Adams was hurt. Rodgers doesn’t have long left in his career too like Brees. The Packers go help their QB the last few years of his career with a weapon. It’s a chase to catch the 49ers for the Packers and the Saints.
Colts (trade with 49ers):
Jordan Love, QB Utah State
Love has a wide range (I’m no love expert though). One of the more divisive QBs, and players, in the class. After the top 3 go at QB, I don’t see many, if any, teams that need a QB that can’t wait until next year with another good QB class on the way. He’s raw and needs to sit for a year to be ready, but the Colts can offer him that. Develop a year behind Rivers and Brissett then take over after. Colts would be a great spot for him with a dome and a great o-line. They move up to get him on a 5th-year option, which is important if he’s going to sit out a year.
Chiefs:
Cesar Ruiz, C Michigan
Chiefs need interior line help and Ruiz is the best in the class easily. Not many teams in round 1 will pass on another player at a different position to take a C/G type of player. He holds the line super well. As if Mahomes needs any more help.
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